Every few years the housing market rewrites the rules, and buyers who learned the last set of rules show up unprepared for the new ones. Right now, the rules have changed more than they have at any point in a generation. The buyers who understand that are finding deals. The ones who do not are making expensive mistakes.
In markets where new construction has been active, prices have pulled back. Phoenix, Austin, and parts of Florida saw corrections of ten to fifteen percent from peak levels in some submarkets. But those are the exceptions. Most markets are not working from excess; they are working from scarcity.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. A market can stay unaffordable for longer than most buyers expect to wait. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.
Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. The difference between a 680 score and a 760 score can mean a half-point or more in rate. If your score has room to improve, talk to your loan officer about specific steps to raise it before you apply formally.
The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. If the home appraises below the contract price, the lender will only finance against the appraised value. Ask your agent what the local pattern looks like before you structure an offer without an appraisal contingency.
Budget two to four percent of the purchase price for closing costs, on top of your down payment. First-time buyers routinely underestimate this number. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate as early in the process as possible.
For buyers with a stable income, a down payment of at least ten percent, and a concrete plan to stay in the home for at least five years, this market is full of opportunity that distracted or impatient buyers miss. The homes that are right for a specific buyer’s actual needs are still moving. They are moving to buyers who showed up prepared.
Buyers who take the time to prepare before they start looking tend to find that there are still good properties available at realistic prices. A quick look at up-to-date property listings will tell you more about your local market than most of what you read in national coverage.
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